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Thursday, 3 January 2013

Some conspiracies are open

Posted on 02:33 by Unknown
There's an old saying among hermeticists: Telling someone a truth he isn't ready to hear is worse than lying. I hope that adage has it wrong.

In this column, Dean Baker tells the American people some basic facts which many will find unwelcome. He explains why the nation has become obsessed with fixing the debt -- which is obviously a serious problem -- at a time when we should concentrate on restoring prosperity.

Yes, there's a plot afoot, a plot to mislead the people. A not-very-secret group has been fixing the terms of our debate. But you'll never hear our nation's numerous conspiracy buffs (most of whom are Libertarians) talk about this network...
The Campaign to Fix the Debt, a nonpartisan organization involving many of the country's richest and most powerful CEOs, sets out to do just that. It has become standard practice in Washington for Wall Street types and other wealthy interests to finance groups to push their agenda.

The Campaign to Fix the Debt involves the CEOs themselves directly stepping up to the plate and pushing the case for cutting Social Security and Medicare as well as lowering the corporate income tax rate.

It's clear what's going on here. We don't need any conspiracy theories.
CEOs from both political parties have openly come together to demand cuts in Social Security and Medicare, two programs that enjoy massive political support across the political spectrum. The wealthy are joining hands without regard to political affiliation to cut benefits that enjoy broad bipartisan support among everyone who is not rich.

President Barack Obama has an opportunity to show real leadership. He should explain to the public the basic facts that all budget experts know: We do not have a chronic deficit problem. The big deficits are the result of collapsed economy.
The Libertarians want us to believe that lowered (or eradicated) taxes on the "job creators" will create more investment and more jobs. That's a lie.
In fact, if anything, investment is surprisingly strong given the large amount of excess capacity in the economy. Measured as a share of GDP, investment in equipment and software is almost back to its prerecession level.
What isn't back to prerecssion level is consumer demand. That can be created by making sure less money goes into the Lichtenstein and Cayman Island bank accounts of the super-wealthy. We need to put the money directly into the pockets of working Americans, through the creation of jobs programs.

Here's the part Baker doesn't tell you -- the part that I have a hard time admitting to myself.

One could argue that Mitt Romney might have more easily found a path toward that very goal, a path unavailable to Barack Obama. During election season, Romney sounded all the familiar alarms about the deplorable state of the American military and the need to invest more heavily in Defense. All of those alarms were nonsense, of course. We're armed to the teeth -- hell, we're armed to the tonsils. Clearly, Romney hoped to use military Keynesianism as a jobs creation engine.

Of course, Romney (like Dubya) would have run that engine on borrowed money, not increased revenues. Republicans are allowed to do things like that.

Or is that still the case...? When Dick Cheney said "Reagan proved deficits don't matter," he spoke before the advent of the Tea Party. I'm convinced that our ruling elite now includes a number of people who don't particularly care if American prosperity ever returns, even by way of a new arms build-up.

But that thought really does take us into the regions of conspiracy theory.
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Wednesday, 2 January 2013

King's speech

Posted on 17:02 by Unknown
File this one under "Woah!" By now, everyone knows that Chris Christie got super-pissed off when Boehner wouldn't allow aid for Hurricane Sandy victims to come up for a vote. But did you read what New York Republican Peter King had to say?
"Boehner is the one," the New York Republican explained. "He walked off the floor. He refused to tell us why. He refused to give us any indication or warning whatsoever... I'm just saying, these people have no problem finding New York -- these Republicans -- when they're trying to raise money. They raise millions of dollars in New York City and New Jersey, they sent Gov. [Chris] Christie around the country raising millions of dollars for them. I'm saying, anyone from New York and New Jersey who contributes one penny to the Republican Congressional Campaign Committee should have their head examined. I would not give one penny to these people based on what they did to us last night."
King then went on to give strong hints (to CNN's Victor Blackwell) that he just might have to leave the Republican party.

"I would not give one penny..." You know, I've never heard a politician from either party use that kind of language. Dropping the $.01 bomb hurts more than dropping an F bomb. Correct me if I'm wrong, but does King's rebellion have any precedent?

Turns out Boehner, chastened by King's speech, belatedly decided to have a vote on Sandy, and suddenly the NY congressman wants to let bygones be bygones. Still, this spat shows us the tensions within the GOP. Within the Republican Monster House, King isn't a Dr. Frankenstein -- he's just an Igor. If one of your Igors gets this rowdy and impudent, you're doing a lousy job of running the Monster House.
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Still more cliff notes

Posted on 16:31 by Unknown
Everyone knows I voted against Romney, not for Obama. But I'm reconciling myself to the way the fiscal cliff drama played out. If Bernie Sanders can support this deal, maybe we shouldn't despise it.

Krugman gives his reasons for despond:
Because of the way Obama negotiated. He gave every indication of being more or less desperate to cut a deal before the year ended — even though going over the fiscal cliff was not at all a drop-dead moment, since we could have gone weeks or months without much real economic damage.

Now, given his evident antsiness to cut a deal in this case, how credible is his promise to hang tough over the debt ceiling, which is a much brighter red line? He may say that he absolutely, positively won’t negotiate over the ceiling — but nothing in his past behavior makes that believable.
Here's the thing. John Boehner is also heading into crisis 2 with a pledge not to negotiate:
Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) is signaling that at least one thing will change about his leadership during the 113th Congress: he’s telling Republicans he is done with private, one-on-one negotiations with President Obama.
Someone's going to have to back down here, and I honestly don't see why it should be Obama, since he's in the stronger position. The American people don't want Republicans to declare "My way or the highway."

Obama even hinted that he was going to ask the wealthy to "do a little more" in 2013. Granted, that's just a signal, not a promise or a policy. Still, it's encouraging.

And that's why I think Krugman (like so many of us) may be looking at the upcoming debt ceiling confrontation too cynically. Let's return to his column:
Maybe this time will be different. Maybe the Treasury is secretly preparing to invoke the 14th amendment, or issue a trillion-dollar platinum coin, or direct that the whole budget gap be taken out of spending dear to Republicans. But I have to say that I now expect Obama to cave on the ceiling; and so, of course, do the Republicans, which means that the crisis is going to happen.

The only thing that might save this situation is the fact that Obama has to be aware just how much is now riding on his willingness to finally stand up for his side; if he doesn’t, nobody will ever trust him again, and he will go down in history as the wimp who threw it all away.
Did Paul Krugman just make serious mention of the trillion dollar coin idea? I thought that was a permissible topic of discussion only in scurrilous blogs that nobody in his right mind would ever respect...
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Let's focus on what's really important

Posted on 07:01 by Unknown
I was going to write a long post about the last-minute fiscal cliff avoidance scheme, which -- according to my spies -- Congress enacted simply to keep another Cannonfire prediction from coming true. (Previous posts had forecast that there would be no deal.) But to tell you the truth, this old noggin is still far too spinny and dizzy and mucus-filled and flu-beset to come to any firm conclusions -- about the budget, about taxes, about anything.

But I think I would have preferred going over.

On the other hand, the Big Deal means that the unemployment bennies will keep spewing for another year, and I guess that's a good thing. At least Riverdaughter won't be forced to...you know. She won't have to live the horrible degraded way I live, searching pocket lint for change in order to scrape up enough coinage to buy a package of off-brand mac and cheese. She has actually rooted for going over the cliff. That's admirable.

Also admirable is what Ross Douthat has to say...
As I’ve suggested before, these negotiations amounted to a test of liberalism’s ability to raise revenue, and it isn’t clear that this outcome constitutes a passing grade: If a newly re-elected Democratic president can’t muster the political will and capital required to do something as straightforward and relatively popular as raising taxes on the tiny fraction Americans making over $250,000 when those same taxes are scheduled to go up already, then how can Democrats ever expect to push taxes upward to levels that would make our existing public progams sustainable for the long run?
I think Douthat is saying tax cuts don't work tax cuts don't work tax cuts don't work. If he's not saying that, he should. Because tax cuts don't work.

Enough. Let's focus on what's really important. On my New Year's resolution. Which is this: To grow a magnificent beard.

My stupid beard has always been short and scraggly and ugly. All the hairs want to escape my face and can't agree on a direction.

This year, through sheer willpower (and maybe some commercial product) I will tame this beard, control it, soften it, lengthen it, unfurl its power.

What bugs me is the color. Right now, it's all salt-and-peppery -- not an unusual thing at this age, and not really unwelcome. The problem is that much of the pepper is on the left side while the salt is on the right. This defies any sense of cosmic symmetry.

I'm thinking of going almost entirely silver, like Sean-Connery-as-General-Ramius. (But longer.) This is not a bad look for a man of a certain age. And while I may not be able to convey Connery's aura of leonine sexual mastery, I can glower at people and tell them to fuck off. That will do.

Hell, I may even buy a ushanka, if funds permit. But not one with a Soviet naval insignia, because Russians laugh at the silly American tourists who wear those.

The big alternative to going silver would be to dye the whole beard to look peppery. No. A stupid option, that. People will laugh.

Another alternative would be to bleach it white and try to get work as a Santa next December.

Or maybe I could dye it an unnatural blue, in reference to Joan of Arc's most notorious general. Did I ever tell you about him?

I'd be grateful for any feedback on the important topic of beardiness. Check back here later today. If this flu has let up, I may actually post something non-surreal. Until then, remember the kangaroos.
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Tuesday, 1 January 2013

What...?

Posted on 21:23 by Unknown
The House passed it?

I'm still having fever dreams, right?

I also dreamed that someone brought in the Amber Room for appraisal on The Antiques Roadshow. You're not going to tell me that really happened as well, are you?
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2016: It's over, baby

Posted on 16:49 by Unknown
The 2016 race is over. I mean the primary race on the Republican side. Senator Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee.

How do I know this? Because Rubio was allowed to vote against the fiscal cliff deal. Moreover, a number of stories have made it clear that Rubio will henceforward be allowed to compile a record designed to appease red-meat Republican primary voters.

That means he's the guy.

Smart move, from the GOP standpoint. Rubio will increase the brand's appeal to Hispanics. Since black turnout probably won't be as high as it was in 2008 and 2012, the Republicans stand a very good chance of winning.

As for the fiscal cliff thingie: I still don't think the House will go for any deal. The deal doesn't actually save all that much money compared to the alternative. And it is clear that the GOP is simply too fractured and unruly to compromise.

Personally, I don't think that this is the time for austerity. I know it seems counter-intuitive, but the time to tighten belts is when the jobs are plentiful and the money is flowing. When an economy is stuck, you prime the pump. That's basic Keynesianism.

Still, if we are going to do the austerity thing, then let's at least go for some real savings and real revenue increases. I've been reading articles bewailing the fact that an individual earning $50,000 a year might have to pay an extra thousand in taxes. Well, Mr. 50K should have thought about his tax bill when he voted for a president who authorized a needless war in Iraq. (Cost: $4 trillion.)
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A look back at stuff

Posted on 00:23 by Unknown
Okay, the Senate passed a fiscal cliff thingie but I don't think the House is going to go for it so the whole thing is kind of silly. Other than that, it's been a pretty productive year for me so far. I've written two novels and fed the dog.

That's pretty damned impressive, especially when you consider that I've caught this bug that's going around and am running a terrible fever. I mean a bad fever, the kind where your hallucinations have hallucinations. Keep that state of consciousness in mind as we look back at what I consider the key events of 2012, in chronological order:

March 12: Right-wing blogs applaud when an American sergeant in Afghanistan goes psycho and kills sixteen civilians for no apparent reason.

April 4: Joe Arpaio uncovers "conclusive evidence" of Barack Obama's Muslim birth.

April 18: Dana Loesch says that Democratic women get raped more often than Republican women; as evidence, she cites an insane tirade by Andrew Breitbart.

August 12: Governor Scott Walker of Nevada survives a recall election.

January 3: Kathy Griffin says something that doesn't annoy me.

March 15: Rick Perry reveals that, under the name "Dr. Michael Persinger," he has frequently contributed to the peer-reviewed journal Perceptual and Motor Skills.

January 7: Fox News labels Barack Obama an anti-Semite after Obama voices agreement with Gershom Scholem's contention that the Sefer Yetzirah "copped a few riffs" from the first century Christian Gnostics.

Septermber 2: Mel Gibson asks "Who wants to eat?" This has something to do with the Second Book of Maccabees. 

September 17: Mitt Romney picks Governor Paul Ryan to be his running mate, saying: "This is my own small tribute to Ravi Shankar." Paul Ryan immediately grabs center stage by claiming that "really built dudes" can fly by flapping their arms.

August 25: Neil Armstrong's final words: "My god -- it's full of stars!"

July 2: Barack Obama endorses same sex marriage, thereby making homosexuality mandatory for everyone everywhere including YOUR SON that's right YOUR SON will spend the rest of his life having sex with other men and it's all Barack Obama's fault.

September 3: Barack Obama loses first debate to Clint Eastwood; Dick Morris loses second debate to Cobie Smulders, Verne Troyer loses first debate to Ann Romney, Honey Boo Boo ekes out a surprise win against the ghost of Anthony Burgess, Bigfoot loses second debate with Chris Matthews. Then it's on to the playoffs.

June 18: Kate Middleton gets naked, does pole dance, performs mock cunnilingus on a taco on the BBC, burns tongue, regrets entire life, becomes nun.

December 11: Mitch McConnell filibusters himself until he cums.

August 1: Krystal Ball. There is an actual woman named Krystal Ball.

February 23: Josh Gates leads the Destination Truth crew into the heart of Tea Party country where he captures the hoof-print of a half-man, half-mandrill who is running for the state senate from a suburb of Mobile, Alabama. In the second part of the show, Josh jumps from space and lands on Roger Ailes.

May 1: Newt Gingrich and Rick Perry argue over who is studlier. Both lose. Not to be outdone, Rick Santorum says he's ready to take more dog urination. "We're talkin' Rottweilers. I'm not a wussy!"

October 7: Gloria Allred says that Mitt Romney lied under oath to keep Staples from divorcing his wife. In response, Staples announces that each customer will attain samsara free of charge.

July 29: The opening Olympic ceremonies feature a tribute to notable American serial killers. In response, Chris Hayes says "I need glasses that make me look even weenier."

March 2: Bill Maher calls Sarah Palin a "cunt" on national television; later explains he meant this "poetically." Taking offense, Palin says that she prefers the term "vagina."

April 7: Overseas, Mitt Romney tells a secret conclave: "I will blow you right here and now if that's what it takes to close this deal."

August 3: Numerous right-wing sites claim that "Dark Knight" killer James Holmes was a member of Occupy Wall Street. They then go on to blame OWS for the length of the Hobbit movie and the death of Socrates.

September 4: Emperor Napoleon III captured at the conclusion of the battle of Sedan.

What were your most notable moments of 2012? Send them to me via ESP and I'll publish a list of unnerving correlations between the Merkavah mystics of the third century and the film version of Fight Club. I think I had better be unconscious now.
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